Forex
trading
The investor's goal in Forex
trading is to profit from foreign currency movements.
Forex trading or currency trading is always done in
currency pairs. For example, the exchange rate of
EUR/USD on Aug 26th, 2003 was 1.0857. This number is
also referred to as a "Forex rate" or just "rate" for
short. If the investor had bought 1000 euros on that
date, he would have paid 1085.70 U.S. dollars. One year
later, the Forex rate was 1.2083, which means that the
value of the euro (the numerator of the EUR/USD ratio)
increased in relation to the U.S. dollar. The investor
could now sell the 1000 euros in order to receive
1208.30 dollars. Therefore, the investor would have USD
122.60 more than what he had started one year earlier.
However, to know if the investor made a good investment,
one needs to compare this investment option to
alternative investments. At the very minimum, the return
on investment (ROI) should be compared to the return on
a "risk-free" investment. One example of a risk-free
investment is long-term U.S. government bonds since
there is practically no chance for a default, i.e. the
U.S. government going bankrupt or being unable or
unwilling to pay its debt obligation.
When trading currencies, trade only when you
expect the currency you are buying to increase in value
relative to the currency you are selling. If the
currency you are buying does increase in value, you must
sell back the other currency in order to lock in a
profit. An open trade (also called an open position) is
a trade in which a trader has bought or sold a
particular currency pair and has not yet sold or bought
back the equivalent amount to close the position.
However, it is estimated that anywhere from
70%-90% of the FX market is speculative. In other words,
the person or institution that bought or sold the
currency has no plan to actually take delivery of the
currency in the end; rather, they were solely
speculating on the movement of that particular
currency. |